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Policy impact assessment of the Common Agricultural Policy and related policy fields
This research line analyzes quantitatively economic, social and environmental impacts of policies, often in inter-disciplinary teams, and develops methodological approaches for quantitative impact assessments. The development and application of large-scale economic simulations models such as the CAPRI modelling system to questions related to trade policies and domestic support is since years a trademark of our team, even before Thomas Heckelei headed the group.
By now, the portfolio of methods and tools for policy impact assessment has diversified, as visible from the projects and publications below, with an increasing focus on agri-environmental interactions.
Besides activities related to larger third party funded research projects, team members are also regularly involved in smaller projects with national and international partners where we contribute our methodological and topical expertise in policy analysis. This research line is closely related to our research line on analysis of trade and market policies, and partly overlaps with research on dairy.
Methodological work on quantitative methods for policy impact assessment, with research fields such as the econometric estimation of optimization models, model linkage or scale changes, is described in an own research line, albeit a clear differentiation between methodological development and policy relevant applications both in projects and publications is often neither possible nor helpful.
LIAISE (Network of Excellence Impact Assesssment, 2009-2014, EU research framework program 7)
CAPRI-RD (Common Agricultural Policy Regionalised Impact - The Rural Development Dimension, 2009-2013, co-ordinated by Wolfgang Britz, EU research framework program 7), as the last of a row of projects co-ordinated by us and funded by the EU's research frameworks which were linked to the development, extension and application of CAPRI (CAPRI, 1997-1999, CAP-STRAT, 2000-2004, CAPRI-DynaSpat, 2004-2007).
IPTS-Biofuels (Integrated Impact Assessment of an Increase in Biofuel Demand in Europe: The Economic and Technological Dimension, 2009-2010, tender by EU Commission) with the finalized PhD project by Arno Becker on Impacts of European biofuel policies on global biofuel and agricultural markets.
EUFARMS (Expansion of CAPRI by farm type models for EU27, Documention and training, reference run and scenario analysis on farm types, 2007-2009, tender by EU Commission)
SEAMLESS (Development of SEAMLESS-IF, the new Framework for Integrated assessment of Agricultural systems - modeling the impacts on Agriculture and Environment, 2005-2009, EU research framework program 6)
Storm, H., Mittenzwei, K., Heckelei, T. (2015): Direct Payments, Spatial Competition, and Farm Survival in Norway , American Journal of Agricultural Economics 97(4): 1192-1205 , Link.
Schroeder, L. A., Gocht, A., Britz, W. (2015): The Impact of Pillar II Funding: Validation from a Modelling and Evaluation Perspective , Journal of Agricultural Economics 66(2): 415–441 , Link.
Mittenzwei, K., Britz, W., Wieck, C. (2014): Does the “green box” of the European Union distort global markets? , Bio-based and Applied Economics 3(1) : 1-20 , Link.
Pelikan, J., Britz, W., Hertel, T. W. (2014): Green Light for Green Agricultural Policies? An Analysis at Regional and Global Scales , Journal of Agricultural Economics (in press) , Link.
Wieck, C., Annen, D. N. (2013): Understanding farmers’ participation in and compliance with public and private standards, Food Economics 9(4): 199-214 , Link.
Annen, D. N., Wieck, C., Kempen, M. (2013): Animal welfare in public and private standards and on-farm compliance , German Journal of Agricultural Economics 62(3): 157-172 , Link.
Gocht, A., Britz, W., Ciaian, P., Gomez y Paloma, S. (2013): Farm Type Effects of an EU-wide Direct Payment Harmonisation, Journal of Agricultural Economics 64(1): 1-32 , Link.
Renwick, A., Jansson, T., Verburg, P. H., Revoredo-Giha, C., Britz, W., Gocht, A., McCracken, D. (2013): Policy reform and agricultural land abandonment in the EU , Land Use Policy 30(1): 446-457 , Link.
Britz, W., Delzeit, R. (2013): The impact of German biogas production on European and global agricultural markets, land use and the environment , Energy Policy 62: 1268–1275 , Link.
Delzeit, R., Holm-Müller, K., Britz, W. (2012): Ökonomische Bewertung des Erneuerbare Energien Gesetzes zur Förderung von Biogas , Perspektiven der Wirtschaftspolitik 13(3): 251–265 , Link.
Britz, W., Gocht, A., Pèrez Dominguez, I., Jansson, T., Grosche, S., Zhao, N. (2012): EU-Wide (Regional and Farm Level) Effects of Premium Decoupling and Harmonisation Following the Health Check Reform , German Journal of Agricultural Economics 61(1): 44-56 , Link.
Delzeit, R., Britz, W., Holm-Müller, K. (2012): Modelling regional input markets with numerous processing plants: The case of green maize for biogas production in Germany , Environmental Modelling & Software 32: 74-84 , Link.
Kožar, M., Kempen, M., Britz, W., Erjavec, E. (2012): Flattening and redistribution of the CAP direct payments for the EU27 regions , Agric. Econ. – Czech 58: 397-407 , Link.
Britz, W., Hertel, T. W. (2011): Impacts of EU biofuels directives on global markets and EU environmental quality: An integrated PE, global CGE analysis , Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 142(1-2): 102-109 , Link.
Leip, A., Britz, W., Weiss, F., de Vries, W. (2011): Farm, land, and soil nitrogen budgets for agriculture in Europe calculated with CAPRI , Environmental Pollution 159(11): 3243-3253 , Link.
Annen, D. N., Wieck, C., Kempen, M. (2011): Evaluation of minimum animal welfare conditions in national standards and farm certification schemes for pig fattening, Acta Agriculturae Scandinavica, Section A - Animal Science 61(1): 40 - 54 , Link.
Velthof, G. L., Oudendag, D. A., Witzke, H.-P., Asman, W. A., Klimont, Z., Oenema, O. (2009): Integrated Assessment of Nitrogen Losses from Agriculture in EU-27 using MITERRA-EUROPE , Journal of Environmental Quality 38: 402-417 , Link.
Pèrez Dominguez, I., Britz, W., Holm-Müller, K. (2009): Trading Schemes for Greenhouse Gas Emissions from European Agriculture: A Comparative Analysis based on different Implementation Options , Review of Agricultural and Environmental Studies 90(3): 287-308 , Link.
Oenema, O., Witzke, H.-P., Klimont, Z., Lesschen, J. P., Velthof, G. L. (2009): Integrated assessment of promising measures to decrease nitrogen losses from agriculture in EU-27 , Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 133(3-4): 280-288 , Link.
Breuer, T., Becker, A. (2008): Pflanzenöl als Kraftstoff - Rahmenbedingungen, Förderinstrumente und regionale Wertschöpfungspotenziale in Deutschland , Berichte aus der Landwirtschaft 86(2): 226-242.
Conference contributions and other publications
Britz, W., Heckelei, T. (2013): Modelling tools for policy Analysis: dimensions of reliability, invited paper presented at the 133rd EAAE-Seminar, June 14-15, 2013, Chania (Greece) Download.
Dwyer, J., Jansson, T., Buckwell, A., Allen, B., Britz, W. (2013): Modelling the regionalised impacts of CAP reform embracing both pillars – challenging path-dependent thinking in policy discourse? , selected paper presented at the The Agricultural Economics Society's 87th annual conference, April 8-10, 2013, Warwick (UK) , Link.
Schroeder, L. A., Britz, W., Gocht, A. (2013): Impact of second Pillar funding in Germany – Validation from a modelling- and an evaluation perspective , selected paper presented at the 133rd EAAE-Seminar, June 14-15, 2013, Chania (Greece).
Last updated: Thursday, January 05, 2017
- Theodor-Brinkmann-Award 2017 for Dr. Sebastian Rasch
- Exam dates summer term 2017
- Economic and Agricultural Policy Group contribution to 2017 EAAE congress
- Climate change impacts on crop yields, land use and environment in response to crop sowing dates and thermal time requirements Zimmermann, A., Webber, H., Zhao, G., Ewert, F., Kros, H., Wolf, J., Britz, W. and de Vries, W. (2017):
"Climate change impacts on crop yields, land use and environment in response to crop sowing dates and thermal time requirements", Agricultural Systems 157, p. 81-92Effect of off-farm income on smallholder commercialization: panel evidence from rural households in Ethiopia Woldeyohanes, T. B., Heckelei, T. and Surry, Y. (2017):
"Effect of off-farm income on smallholder commercialization: panel evidence from rural households in Ethiopia", Agricultural Economics 48(2), p. 207-218Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: The vision of the SUSFANS project Rutten, M., Achterbosch, T., de Boer, I., Crespo Cuaresma, J., Geleijnse, M., Havlik, P., Heckelei, T., Ingram, J. S., Leip, A., Marette, S., van Meijl, H., Soler, L. -G., Swinnen, J. F., van't Veer, P., Vervoort, J., Zimmermann, A., Zimmermann, K. and Zurek, M. (2016):
"Metrics, models and foresight for European sustainable food and nutrition security: The vision of the SUSFANS project", Agricultural Systems (in press)Assessing the resilience of a real-world social-ecological system: lessons from a multidisciplinary evaluation of a South African pastoral system Linstädter, A., Kuhn, A., Naumann, C., Rasch, S., Sandhage-Hofmann, A., Amelung, W., Jordaan, J., Du Preez, C. and Bollig, M.(2016):
"Assessing the resilience of a real-world social-ecological system: lessons from a multidisciplinary evaluation of a South African pastoral system", Ecology and Society 23(3)Impact of biofuel development on Malaysian agriculture: a comparative statics, multicommodity, multistage production, partial equilibrium approach Jafari, Y. and Othman, J.(2016):
"Impact of biofuel development on Malaysian agriculture: a comparative statics, multicommodity, multistage production, partial equilibrium approach ", Food and Energy SecurityUncertainty in future irrigation water demand and risk of crop failure for maize in Europe Webber, H., Gaiser, T., Oomen, R., Teixeira, E., Zhao, G., Wallach, D., Zimmermann, A., Ewert, F. (2016):
"Uncertainty in future irrigation water demand and risk of crop failure for maize in Europe", Environmental Research Letters 11(7)Directional Volatility Spillovers Between Agricultural, Crude Oil, Real Estate, and Other Financial Markets Grosche, S. and Heckelei, T.(2016):
"Directional Volatility Spillovers Between Agricultural, Crude Oil, Real Estate, and Other Financial Markets", in: Kalkuhl, M., von Braun, J. and Torero, M. (eds.), Food Price Volatility and Its Implications for Food Security and Policy: 183 - 205, Springer